Nigerian companies making anything
from soap to tomato paste could run out of raw
materials and be forced to shut down as Africa's
top oil producer has effectively banned the
import of almost 700 goods to prevent a
currency collapse.
Selected luxury items such as make-up or brown
bread imported from Europe have become
scarce in some shops as the central bank denies
importers dollars, seeking to stem the fallout
from a crash in vital oil revenues hammering
Africa's largest economy.
The central bank has restricted access to foreign
currency to import 41 categories of items to stop
a slide of the naira but the Manufacturers
Association of Nigeria (MAN) said this in fact
amounted to about 680 individual items.
The foreign exchange bans are part of a long-
term plan by President Muhammadu Buhari to
encourage local manufacturing, but they run the
risk of pushing the economy closer to recession
after growth halved in the second quarter
compared with the same period last year.
Many items on the central bank list - ranging
from incense and toothpicks to plywood, glass
and steel products - are not available in Nigeria
in sufficient volumes.
Foreign suppliers
While Nigeria grows a lot of tomatoes, transport
is poor and it lacks facilities to produce the
concentrate needed by factories making tomato
paste, a staple in the West African nation.
"We've taken this matter up with the central
bank and the highest authority in this country ...
Fiscal authorities will also be involved, they
weren't before," Remi Ogunmefun, the director
general of MAN, said.
MAN had told the central bank 105 items should
be removed from the list, but the bank said it
could not afford to do so and agreed to look into
removing 44 items.
MAN also suggested 93 finished items that
should be added to the list because Nigeria
produces enough of them.
The economic crisis is a blow to Buhari who
wants to end dependence on oil revenues but
faces criticism for failing to name a cabinet four
months after taking office.
Since the central bank unveiled its controls in
June, executives have had to deal with foreign
suppliers worried they won't get paid. They also
struggle to convince banks to approve dollar
payments.
"It takes minimum 10 days now to get dollars,
before it was 24-48 hours, and sometimes when
you request like $100 000, you only get $80 000
and it's getting worse," said an executive at a
large furniture company, asking not to be
named.
It's not clear which imports are still allowed as
the central bank lists only categories. He can still
bring in beds and chairs to be assembled in
Nigeria, but not sofas.
Some firms have defaulted on contracts and lost
credit lines. "Many companies have defaulted on
fulfilling foreign obligations ... even blue chip
companies ... for the first time," said Muda
Yusuf, director general of the Lagos Chamber of
Commerce.
Policy vacuum
With no cabinet in place, central bank governor
Godwin Emefiele finds himself discussing policies
usually reserved for a finance or economy
minister.
At a news conference on Tuesday, Emefiele
justified the controls - which Buhari has backed -
as a way to create jobs in a country hit by
poverty despite its oil wealth.
"I read an advertisement in a paper that shortly
after we announced the foreign exchange
exclusion for the importation of tomato paste
they advertised for almost 1,000 jobs," he said,
citing the example of a tomato paste company, a
sector that experts do not in fact expect to
flourish now.
Emefiele has ruled out another naira devaluation
but on Tuesday loosened monetary policies to
inject liquidity into banks, which had been forced
to transfer government revenues to a central
bank account as part of an anti-corruption drive.
Nigeria stepped up import controls when Buhari
led a military government in the 1980s and the
economy suffered then too.
Razia Khan, Chief Economist, Africa, at Standard
Chartered Bank, said there was little certainty
the latest controls would boost manufacturing.
"Nigeria has had substantial experience with
similar import-substitution policies in the past,"
said Khan. "Rarely have they succeeded in
creating a vibrant, competitive industrial sector,
with the capability of creating the employment
growth that Nigerian demographics otherwise
demand."
According to the Lagos Chamber of Commerce,
Nigeria is short of 600,000 tonnes a year of palm
oil, that is used to make soap, detergents and
cosmetics that have also been restricted.
Pharmaceutical firms lack bottles, and glass
manufacturers do not have the glass to make
them.
Bags full of cash
Companies also suffer from the central bank's
attempt to stop the dollarisation of the economy.
A ban on cash deposits of foreign currency has
forced firms to use informal "transfer markets",
whereby people abroad wire dollars on a
company's behalf.
That exchange rate is well below the official rate
to the dollar. Some executives now carry bags of
cash to deposit in neighbouring countries.
For some though, the measures offer hope.
"It's a big challenge to compete in a market with
imported frozen chicken and fish. The profit is
marginal," said Kabir Chaskewa of Ajima Farms, a
family business based near the capital, Abuja.
Compared to a foreign firm that produces frozen
chicken in batches of up to 1 million, Chaskewa
can only do batches of 5 000. "Now there's a rise
in demand for local poultry and rice," he said.
Reuters


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